What is the NHCI Score?

The NHCI Score (NeverHodl Cycle Intelligence) is a single number between 0 and 100 that tells retail investors where Bitcoin is positioned in its 4-to-5 year market cycle — updated every hour.

The score combines 37 indicators across six categories: on-chain fundamentals (MVRV, NUPL, SOPR and 6 more), market sentiment and structure (Fear & Greed, Funding Rate, Open Interest and others), US macro liquidity (Fed balance sheet, VIX, US 10Y yield), global central bank liquidity (ECB, BoJ, BoE, PBoC), FX and stablecoin supply, and flow and holder behavior.

"We built this because retail investors deserve the same quality of market cycle intelligence that institutional desks have access to — one number, updated hourly, backed by 9 years of historical validation." — NeverHodl™ team

What's Available Today

  • Live NHCI Score dashboard at neverhodl.com/dashboard — BTC cycle score, phase, signal, and context overlays updated hourly
  • Public REST API at /api/public/nhci — no API key, no registration, 20 req/min
  • 30-day history endpoint at /api/public/nhci/history — daily NHCI score, phase, and BTC price
  • Full methodology at neverhodl.com/methodology
  • API documentation at neverhodl.com/developers

Track Record: 8 of 8 Turning Points

Since its historical calibration against 3,414 days of Bitcoin data (January 2017 – May 2026), the NHCI Score has correctly identified all 8 major cycle turning points — 4 bear market bottoms and 4 bull market tops:

DateEventNHCI SignalOutcome
Dec 2018Bear bottomBOTTOM (~12)+400% in 12m ✓
Mar 2020COVID crashBOTTOM (~18)+800% in 18m ✓
Apr 2021Local topNEVERHODL™ · 18d early-53% in 3m ✓
Nov 2021Cycle ATH $69KNEVERHODL™ · 12d early-75% in 12m ✓
Nov 2022FTX bottomBOTTOM (~22)+280% in 12m ✓
Jan 2023RecoveryACCUMULATIONConfirmed ✓
Oct 2025Cycle ATH $126KHOT ZONE (~70) · 24d early-30% ✓
Q1 2026Correction lowBOTTOM (~28)Recovery began ✓

About NeverHodl™

NeverHodl™ is a Bitcoin market cycle intelligence platform. The name reflects the core philosophy: when the on-chain cycle data indicates it is time to act, holding forever is not a strategy. The platform serves retail investors who want data-driven clarity about Bitcoin's market cycle — without the noise.

neverhodl.com · @NeverHodlHQ

For press inquiries, API licensing, or media assets contact us via the Press page.

DATA SOURCES Analysis powered by the NeverHodl NHCI Engine v3.2 — 37 on-chain, macroeconomic, and market indicators across 6 categories. Data updated hourly.
Methodology →  ·  Live API →  ·  Data Attribution →

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