Transparency

Data Attribution

The NHCI Score (NeverHodl Cycle Intelligence) is built on publicly available data from third-party providers. We are committed to full transparency about every data source used to compute the index.

How this page works: Every indicator in the NHCI Score is sourced from a provider listed below. The NHCI composite score, phase labels, contextual overlays (DescentGuard, InstitutionalTopRisk), and signal outputs are proprietary to NeverHodl™. The underlying raw data is sourced from the providers listed here, each with their own terms.

Live Market Data Sources

These sources power the public-facing data returned by /api/public/nhci and displayed on the dashboard.

Data point Provider Endpoint License / Terms
BTC Price (primary) Kraken /0/public/Ticker?pair=XBTUSD Public, free, no attribution required
BTC Price (fallback) CoinGecko /api/v3/simple/price CoinGecko ToS — attribution required
Fear & Greed Index Alternative.me api.alternative.me/fng/ Free, CC0-compatible public index
BTC Dominance CoinGecko /api/v3/global CoinGecko ToS — attribution required
ETH Dominance / ETH/BTC ratio Kraken + CoinGecko /0/public/Ticker?pair=ETHXBT Public, free
DeFi TVL DeFiLlama api.llama.fi/v2/chains Free, open data — DeFiLlama API

Score Computation Sources

The following data sources feed the NHCI engine (v3.2). Raw data is ingested via hourly cron jobs, stored in our database, and processed by the proprietary scoring engine.

CAT 1 On-Chain Fundamentals 9 indicators
IndicatorProviderNotes
MVRV Z-ScoreGlassnodeMarket Value to Realized Value
NUPLGlassnodeNet Unrealized Profit/Loss
SOPR / aSOPRGlassnodeSpent Output Profit Ratio (adjusted)
LTH-SOPRGlassnodeLong-Term Holder SOPR (>155 days)
STH-MVRVGlassnodeShort-Term Holder MVRV (<155 days)
LTH-MVRVGlassnodeLong-Term Holder MVRV (>155 days)
Puell MultipleGlassnodeMiner revenue vs. 365d average
Thermocap MultipleGlassnodeMarket cap vs. cumulative miner revenue
Reserve RiskGlassnodeLTH confidence vs. price opportunity
CAT 2 Market Sentiment & Structure 6 indicators
IndicatorProviderNotes
Fear & Greed IndexAlternative.meComposite retail sentiment (0–100)
BTC DominanceCoinGeckoBTC share of total crypto market cap
Funding RateCoinglassPerpetual futures funding rate
Open InterestCoinglassTotal open futures contracts (notional)
BTC RSI-14Kraken (price data)14-day RSI computed internally
SSR OscillatorGlassnodeStablecoin Supply Ratio
CAT 3–4 Macro Liquidity — US & Global Central Banks 13 indicators
IndicatorProviderNotes
Global M2 YoY% / 3m%FRED + central bank APIsAggregated G5 M2 money supply
Fed Balance SheetFRED (WALCL)Federal Reserve total assets
US 10Y Treasury YieldFRED (DGS10)10-year nominal yield
VIXFRED (VIXCLS)CBOE Volatility Index
EU M3ECB Data PortalEuropean M3 money supply
ECB Balance SheetECB Data PortalECB total assets
Japan M2 + Monetary BaseBank of JapanBoJ M2 + monetary base
UK M4 + BoE Balance SheetBank of EnglandBoE M4 + total assets
China M2 + PBoC Balance SheetPBoC + Trading EconomicsPBoC M2 + total assets
Recession ProbabilityNY Fed12-month US recession probability model
CAT 5 FX & Stablecoins 6 indicators
IndicatorProviderNotes
DXY (US Dollar Index)FRED (DTWEXBGS)Trade-weighted USD index
EUR/USD, JPY/USD, GBP/USD, CNY/USDFREDMajor FX pairs vs. USD
Stablecoin Supply TotalGlassnode + CoinGeckoUSDT + USDC + DAI combined supply
CAT 6 Flow & Holder Behavior 3 indicators
IndicatorProviderNotes
Exchange Net FlowGlassnodeNet BTC flowing to/from exchanges
Miner Net FlowGlassnodeNet BTC flowing from miners
ETF FlowsCoinglassBitcoin spot ETF daily net flows

NeverHodl™ Intellectual Property

The following outputs are exclusively developed and owned by NeverHodl™. They are derived from the raw data above but represent original work not replicable from data sources alone.

AssetDescription
NHCI Score (v3.2)Composite 0–100 cycle index. Proprietary weighting, normalization, and phase-adaptive logic.
Phase labels & thresholdsBottom / Accumulation / Bull Active / Hot Zone / NeverHodl™ — calibrated boundaries.
DescentGuard™Proprietary bear market descent detection overlay. Logic, triggers, and thresholds not disclosed.
InstitutionalTopRisk™Proprietary cycle top distribution detection. Logic, triggers, and thresholds not disclosed.
NHCI SignalACCUMULATE · HOLD · CAUTION · REDUCE — derived from score + overlays.
Crypto NHCI Score9-indicator aggregate market score for overall crypto market cycle.
Historical NHCI databaseDaily NHCI scores since January 2017, stored and maintained by NeverHodl™.

Attribution Requirements

If you display or publish NHCI Score data — in articles, apps, dashboards, newsletters, or social media — the following attribution is required:

NHCI Score by NeverHodl™ — neverhodl.com

For BTC price data additionally credit: Kraken and/or CoinGecko.
For Fear & Greed data additionally credit: Alternative.me.
For DeFi TVL data additionally credit: DeFiLlama.

For API usage terms see the About Developers page. For full legal terms see Terms of Service. For questions about data licensing contact us via Press & Media.