BTC em $64.250 no Domingo - Faixa Sustenta, Score Recupera
Bitcoin trades at $64,250 on Sunday June 21, 2026 - up from $63,137 on Friday, a quiet but real gain of $1,113 over the weekend. Sunday sessions carry lower institutional flow than weekday sessions; with most professional desks closed and ETF trading suspended, the market reflects primarily spot activity. The fact that BTC is holding and gaining ground rather than drifting lower is one data point worth noting, though not over-reading on thin volume.
The more important movement this weekend is in the cycle score, not the price. The BTC NHCI has climbed to 30.0, up +1.6 points from Friday's 28.4, and the Crypto NHCI has moved to 34.6, approaching the 35.0 level that marks the formal boundary between BOTTOM and ACCUMULATION phases. Both scores are moving in the same direction. That is the signal embedded in the weekend data: the correction that drove scores from 43+ in early May to the 25.6 low of June 9 has stalled, and the recovery process is now accumulating evidence across multiple indicators.
Fontes: CoinGecko, pipeline NHCI SupabaseNHCI 30.0: Recuperando Dentro do FUNDO - 5ª Semana em Fase
The BTC NHCI reads 30.0, firmly inside the BOTTOM phase (0–35) and now in its 5th consecutive week in phase. The score path from the cycle low tells the story precisely: 25.6 on June 9 (the low), 27.2 on June 11, 27.4 on June 13, 28.4 for three days from June 16–19, and 30.0 today. Each step is a real gain - the descent has been replaced by a measured, multi-day recovery. The phase boundary at 35 remains the structural threshold to watch; until the score crosses and holds that level, the BOTTOM classification stands.
The Crypto NHCI at 34.6 is worth highlighting separately. The broad-market score is 0.4 points from the ACCUMULATION threshold. It has been rising faster than the BTC NHCI because altcoins have been recovering from more extreme oversold levels. A move above 35 in the Crypto NHCI would represent the broad market, not just Bitcoin, transitioning out of BOTTOM. That transition needs to be confirmed by sustained days above threshold, not a single close. NeverHodl does not predict when or whether that confirmation arrives; it reports when it does.
Fonte: pipeline NHCI NeverHodlFear & Greed em 23 - Medo Extremo, Mas Recuperando Desde 14
The Fear & Greed Index reads 23 today - still inside Extreme Fear territory (0–25), but a meaningful improvement from the 14 reading that persisted from June 16–19. The index has recovered 9 points over five days. The low was 8, reached on June 8 - the lowest Fear & Greed reading since June 2022. From that extreme, the recovery to 23 follows a pattern that historically coincides with the back half of BOTTOM phases: the most acute panic passes first, then sentiment normalizes slowly as the price base firms.
The threshold worth watching for sentiment is 25 - the boundary between Extreme Fear and plain Fear. A sustained move above 25 in the Fear & Greed Index, alongside the NHCI approaching or crossing 35, would represent two independent indicators simultaneously moving through their respective phase-shift boundaries. NeverHodl reports the data when that happens; it does not predict the timing.
Fonte: CoinGecko Fear & GreedAvaliação On-Chain Sustenta o Piso de Valor Profundo: MVRV 1,21
The MVRV ratio reads 1.21 - market value at 1.21x realized value. This keeps BTC market capitalization only modestly above the aggregate cost basis of all coins in circulation, a historically deep-value reading. Previous cycle BOTTOM phases have seen MVRV dip below 1.0 (market value falling below realized cost, meaning the average holder is underwater) - the current 1.21 is above that extreme but still in the low band associated with cycle floor formation. On-chain valuation has not followed the score higher: the NHCI is recovering while MVRV holds steady near the floor. This confirms the recovery is driven by factors in the broader composite score, not by a dramatic repricing of on-chain value.
BTC Dominance at 56.26% remains elevated, consistent with a market in which capital has not yet rotated to altcoins. Dominant BTC positioning in risk-off phases is the pattern; rotation tends to follow, not lead, the cycle recovery. ETF flow data is not available today - institutional data carries a lag and Sunday flows are not reported. The next ETF flow reading will be available on Monday.
| Indicador | Leitura | Sinal |
|---|---|---|
| BTC NHCI | 30.0 / 100 | FUNDO · 5ª SEM · +1,6 PTS DESDE SEX |
| Crypto NHCI | 34.6 / 100 | FUNDO · 0,4 PTS DA ACUMULAÇÃO |
| BTC Price | $64,250 | +$1.113 DESDE SEXTA · FAIXA SUSTENTA |
| Fear & Greed | 23 / 100 | MEDO EXTREMO · RECUPERANDO DESDE 14 |
| MVRV | 1.21 | VALOR PROFUNDO - PISO SUSTENTA |
| BTC Dominance | 56.26% | ELEVADA - SEM ROTAÇÃO ALTCOIN AINDA |
| Spot BTC ETF Flows | N/D Domingo | DADOS INDISPONÍVEIS - REPORTE SEGUNDA |
O dashboard NeverHodl mostra o score NHCI ao vivo, a classificação de fase e todos os indicadores de suporte atualizados diariamente. Acompanhe a recuperação em tempo real - veja exatamente quando e se o score cruza o limiar de 35 para ACUMULAÇÃO. Dados, não opiniões.
Ver Score ao Vivo →A NeverHodl publica dados descritivos de ciclo derivados de indicadores on-chain, macro e de mercado. Nada neste resumo constitui aconselhamento financeiro, aconselhamento de investimento ou um sinal de compra ou venda. Os dados de ciclo descrevem estrutura; não preveem resultados. Fontes: CoinGecko (preço, Fear & Greed, dominância), Glassnode (MVRV), pipeline NHCI NeverHodl.